Weldon Cooper Center for Public Service

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"The University of Virginia's Weldon Cooper Center for Public Service is a research and training organization focused on the Commonwealth of Virginia. The Center provides objective information, data, applied research, technical assistance, and practical training to state and local officials, community leaders, and members of the general public. The Cooper Center's 60-member staff includes experts in public management, demography, economics and public finance, political science, leadership and organizational development, workforce issues, and survey research."[1]

Weldon Cooper Population Estimates

Each year, demographers at the Weldon Cooper Center develop and release the official population estimates for Virginia and its counties and independent cities to illuminate population counts between decennial censuses. These estimates provide the best approximation of the population count on July 1st of the prior year. Population estimates are an important tool used by a variety of state agencies in their planning processes — from developing budgets to determining salaries for public officials. These estimates are used in funding formulae based on per capita allocations, in planning, in budgeting, in applications for grants, in approving and setting salaries for certain public officials, and in all manner of state agencies from VDOT to VDOE.[2]

Intercensal Estimates

The Weldon Cooper Center's intercensal population data represents a restated view of their population projections between two official censuses. After the U.S. government produces its official estimate every 10 years, the Weldon Cooper Center goes back and revises each of its prior postcensal estimates (see postcensal data below). This table will not be updated further until after the 2020 census.

Intercensal estimates[3]
Year Albemarle Charlottesville Total
2010 Census 98,970 43,475 142,445
2009 98,004 42,862 140,866
2008 96,628 42,108 138,736
2007 94,336 41,635 135,971
2006 94,444 42,562 137,006
2005 91,531 41,038 132,569
2004 90,798 40,786 131,584
2003 88,978 40,176 129,154
2002 87,257 40,294 127,551
2001 86,141 40,174 126,315
2000 Census 84,698 40,191 124,889
Population charts prepared by Charlottesville Tomorrow using Weldon Cooper data
Year to year change in population by number
Year to year change in population by percentage

Postcensal Estimates

The Weldon Cooper Center's Demography and Workforce estimates population for Virginia's counties and cities each year. The estimates in a non census year are called "postcensal" because they are produced after each of the official census generated by the U.S. government every decade. These estimates are later revised to reflect actual populations changes recorded in the official census. The restated population figures are called intercensal projections (see above).

Postcensal Estimates[4]
[5][6]
Year Albemarle Charlottesville Total
2019[7] 109,722 49,181 158,903
2014[8] 103,707 47,783 151,490
2013 102,731 46,623 149,354
2012 101,575 45,073 146,648
2011 100,780 44,471 145,251
2010 99,346 43,551 142,897
2009 95,247 40,317 135,564
2008 94,277 39,833 134,110
2007 92,312 39,651 131,963
2006 92,693 40,807 133,500
2005 90,100 39,610 129,710
2004 89,600 39,600 129,200
2003 88,100 39,310 127,400
2002 86,700 39,700 126,400
2001 85,800 39,800 125,600
Population charts prepared by Charlottesville Tomorrow using Weldon Cooper data
Year to year change in population by number
Year to year change in population by percentage

Comparison between Intercensal and Postcensal

Population graphs prepared by Charlottesville Tomorrow using Weldon Cooper data
Year to year difference between postcensal and intercensal estimates in the city population
Year to year difference between postcensal and intercensal estimates in the county population

Other studies

In February 2009, the Weldon Cooper Center published an efficiency study with the Virginia Institute of Government that had been commissioned by the city of Charlottesville.

Efficiency study link

Historical predictions

On March 9, 1948, Loren A. Thompson, director of the Bureau of Population and Economic Research, told the Rotary Club that he predicted rural communities would likely experience stationary populations but that Charlottesville's would grow depending on expansion at the University of Virginia. [9]

The Center for Survey Research is also a unit of Weldon Cooper.

References

  1. ↑ "Mission | Weldon Cooper Center for Public Service." Cooper Center Home Page | Weldon Cooper Center for Public Service. Web. 07 Feb. 2010. <http://www.coopercenter.org/mission>.
  2. ↑ https://demographics.coopercenter.org/sites/demographics/files/VA_PopEstimates_LocalityMethodology_Jan2015.pdf
  3. ↑ Web. US Census Releases 2010 Data for Charlottesville and Virginia, City of Charlottesville, 3 Feb. 2011, retrieved 3 Feb. 2011.
  4. ↑ "Virginia Population Estimates | Weldon Cooper Center for Public Service." Cooper Center Home Page | Weldon Cooper Center for Public Service. Web. 07 Feb. 2010. <http://www.coopercenter.org/demographics/population-estimates>.
  5. ↑ Web. [1], Weldon Cooper Center, 27 Jan 2014, retrieved 28 Jan 2014.
  6. ↑ Web. [2], Weldon Cooper Center, 27 Jan 2014, retrieved 28 Jan 2014.
  7. ↑ Web. [3], Darnell Myrick, News Article, CBS19 News, February 8, 2020, retrieved February 16, 2020.
  8. ↑ Web. [4], Weldon Cooper Center, 27 Jan 2014, retrieved December 21, 2015.
  9. ↑ Web. Future of City Aired at Meet, Staff Reports, Daily Progress Digitized Microfilm, Lindsay family, March 8, 1948, retrieved December 11, 2016 from University of Virginia Library. Print. March 8, 1948 page 3.

External Links

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